Yes, the events unfolding in Russia are historical, but the West has little ability to influence them in any meaningful way.

policymakers should not lose focus on Ukraine. While there are limited options for policymakers to influence the outcome of Russia’s internal turmoil, there are some things that should still be done. But it probably took Prigozhin’s march on Moscow for Western policymakers to start thinking seriously about how to prepare for what might come next. Since the start of the war in Ukraine, many analysts have warned that policymakers should prepare for post-Putin postwar scenarios for Russia, including civil strife and the country’s disintegration. When it comes to Russia, therefore, nothing can be ruled out.

Prigozhin’s quick alleged takeover of two major Russian cities and his warriors’ march on Moscow against virtually no resistance have shown that anything is possible, including Putin’s downfall and civil war. Putin’s disastrous decision to invade Ukraine has come full circle and set off an unstable power dynamic within Russia. Although the deal between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Wagner Group head Yevgeny Prigozhin succeeded in calling off the latter’s military insurrection, preventing a Russian civil war, and restoring order for now, one thing is certain: This drama is far from over.

Warfare Area 2 for ios download free